XRP Price Prediction: Will XRP Rise to $4 Next?

Question

According to Gate market data, as of August 4, 2025, XRP is currently priced at $2.93, with a daily fall of 4.34%, and a market capitalization of $173.6 billion, firmly ranking third in the Crypto Assets leaderboard. Despite a nearly 13% decline over the past week, breaking below the $3 key psychological support level, multiple institutions and analysts believe that this pullback is actually a preparation phase for the next strong rebound, with a target price of $4 soon to be reached.

##Market Divergence Intensifies: Brief Pullback vs Prelude to Bull Market

The current market judgment on the trend of XRP is polarized:

Bearish view: Technical analysts warn that if the support level of $2.80 - $2.95 cannot be held, it may further dip into the $2.40 - $2.60 range (potential 16% fall). In the past 48 hours, whale addresses have sold over 720 million XRP, intensifying market selling pressure.
Bullish signals: Google Gemini AI predicts a target price of $4.45 by the end of August (ranging from $3.6 to $5.2); the DeepSeek model also indicates a technical target of $3.5 to $4.0 for August. On-chain data shows a large accumulation of buy orders in the range of $2.40 to $2.60, which could serve as a rebound springboard.

Analyst Michaël van de Poppe emphasized: "$2.40 - $2.60 is the strategic accumulation zone, and once buying power returns, XRP will restart its upward trend."

##Three Major Catalysts: Key Events Breaking Through in August

If XRP is to hit $4 in August, three major events will be decisive variables:

August 15 — Ripple and SEC lawsuit progress: Both parties will submit a joint progress report, and if the SEC abandons the appeal or reaches a settlement, it will clear the long-term regulatory shadow for XRP and stimulate institutional entry.
October 18 - Spot XRP ETF final review window: Grayscale and 21Shares' spot ETF applications will be approved by the SEC. If approved, XRP will gain access to traditional capital channels worth hundreds of billions, replicating the BTC +60% market trend following the approval of the Bitcoin ETF.
November - Global banks complete ISO 20022 upgrade: SWIFT network banking system migrates to ISO 20022 standard, deeply compatible with RippleNet technology architecture, and the adoption rate of cross-border payments may see an explosion.

##Technical Analysis: Rebound signal has appeared, 20% increase is imminent.

Multiple technical indicators show that XRP is at a rebound critical point:

Bullish divergence formation: On the 4-hour chart, the price is falling while the RSI indicator continues to rise, indicating that selling pressure is weakening and buying is gradually entering the market.
The descending wedge breakout is imminent: if it breaks the $3.07 trend line, based on Fibonacci retracement levels, the short-term target is $3.60 - $3.65 (an increase of 20%).
Dragonfly Doji signal: A classic reversal pattern appears on the daily chart, and a historically similar pattern has triggered a 65% surge (April 2025).

##Conclusion: If it holds steady at $2.80 in August, the journey to $4 officially begins.

Despite being under pressure in the short term, XRP has the conditions for a breakout from technical, fundamental, and news perspectives. If it can hold the support zone of $2.80 - $2.95 and take advantage of the favorable regulatory news on August 15th, the target range of $3.5 - $4.5 is expected to be achieved within the month. If the spot ETF is approved as scheduled, then $6 - $10 will become the next target for the bulls.

XRP2.01%

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