Can Bitcoin reach a new high? What is the future direction of the crypto market?
With the approval of the Bitcoin ETF and the price breaking through historical highs, whether Bitcoin can surpass $100,000 has once again become a hot topic. However, the volatility in the crypto market remains significant. Following the record high, the market experienced the largest correction since 2020, with the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies shrinking from $2.44 trillion on August 2 to $1.99 trillion on August 6, with a maximum single-day drop of 8.4%.
The reasons for this pullback are complex and varied. Global economic uncertainty has increased, stock markets have generally declined, and the Bank of Japan has raised interest rates; meanwhile, signs of recession have appeared in the U.S. economy, and employment data has fallen short of expectations. Additionally, the operations of some trading institutions and the tense geopolitical situation have also affected the market.
In recent years, some prediction models have gained attention for accurately predicting Bitcoin peaks. However, over time, the predictive power of these models has gradually weakened.